Climate Modelers fail to forecast El Niño, Again?
Early Onset destroys credibilities...
But, Stay Tuned!, They are convinced...
"COMING SOON!
La Niña - Cool Killer from The Tropics!
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REFERENCES (contact <gsharp@redshift.com> for more info)
| Year | Locale | Event | Social Effects | Source |
| 1997 | Eastern Africa Coasts | Highland Floods Continued Coastal Rainfalls | Somalia, Tanzania, and Moçambique highlands are flooded, crops ruined, and peoples displaced, thousands die |
Indian Ocean ENSO Warm Event |
| 1997 | Indonesia | Drought/Fires caused by slash and burn Agriculturists | Dense smoke covers entire region affecting visibility, human health, thousands ill |
East Indian Ocean ENSO Warm Event |
| 1997 | Western No.&So. America Coasts | Ocean Warming anomalies reach 3-4C | Fisheries perturbed as tropical- subtropicals are shifted poleward | |
| March 1997 | Western and Equatorial Pacific SOI dropping | Kelvin Wave released (6 mo. early) extreme warming begins off So. America | Fisheries perturbed as tropical- subtropicals are shifted /Chilean sardine catch @.75M tonnes in one week/ Drought in Australia/Indonesia/ SE Asian monsoon delayed |
News |
| 1997 | India/China | Monsoon Floods extreme | Thousands perish in record floods |
News |
| 1997 | Iran | Two major quakes R=5.5 |
First tears apart rural areas of north-western Iran, killing 1,000 people. Three months later a stronger tremor, measuring 7.1, kills 1,560 in eastern Iran. |
News |
| 1997 | Eastern Africa/Egypt | Raging Sand Storm | Disrupts Agriculture/Power/Water Supplies |
News |
| 1997 | Western Pacific | Early Kelvin Waves | Dry January-April California/ Floods Mid- Western USA |
Bad News Francisco Bay's Columnist Herb Caen dies |
| 1997 | Western Europe | Harsh Winter | Flooding/Freezes/crops destroyed |
News |
| 1996-97 | Western USA/East | Floods/freezes and heavy snow |
Displacements/crops damaged/ California flood controls questioned |
News |
| Late 1996-early 1997 | Global Ocean | ENSO Cool Event ends+ QBO +African Rainfall | Forecast Hurricanes Islands/Atlantic coasts | Wm Gray |
| October1996 | California offshore | Warming begins off No. America | Fisheries perturbed: rockfish submerge/ tropical- subtropicals shift northward |
News |
| 1995 | Europe | Early Cold winter | Olive crop freezes/floods |
News |
| Mid 1995 | Global Ocean | ENSO Cool Event begins | Typhoons/Hurricanes Plague Islands/coasts | Wm Gray |
| 1995 | China | Monsoon Floods extreme | Thousands perish in record floods |
News |
| 1995 | MidWest-Eastern USA | Record Breaking Heat | Over 500 persons die of heat related stress |
News |
| 1995-97 | Korea | Droughts/Floods extreme - withdrawal of food subsiidies from China/USSR | 2-3 million perish |
News |
| 1995 | Zaire | Ebola virus outbreak | Epidemic feared/Quarantines/>100 die | WHO |
| 1995 | Southern Australia | Coastal Upwelling/Algal blooms | Pelagic fish dieoffs/anoxia/alga densities |
News |
| 1995 | Kattegat/Skagerak | Mild Winter/Virus | Pinneped die-off |
News |
| 1995 | South Africa | Kruger Game Park/Rodent bloom | Elephant die off/virus due to rodent outbreak |
News |
| 1995 |
Sakhalin, Russia Kobe Japan |
R=7.5 The Hyogo quake |
Massive earthquake - 1,989 die. 6,430 people die. |
News |
| 1995 | Eastern USA | Late onset of winter cold | Warm/wet October-1st snow storm February | G.D. Sharp |
| 1995 | Western Europe | Heaviest rainfall in 150 yrs | Flooding and associated social displacements | G.D. Sharp |
| 1995 | California | Floods | Cont'd central Pacific warm event=heavy rainfall | G.D. Sharp |
| Early 1995 | Pacific Basin | ENSO Warm event | Kelvin wave/Peru January '95 | G.D. Sharp |
| 1994 | Georges Bank/NE USA | Commercial Fishing Stopped | Resources overexploited/improper Management | G.D. Sharp |
| 1994 | Global/Solar link | Solar wind linked to climate | Solar wind modulates magnetic field/climate | Tinsley |
| 1994-95 | Japan | Numerous earthquakes | Culminates in Kobe 7.5 Richter event | G.D. Sharp |
| 1994 | Eastern USA | Severe winter | December-February freezes/storms | G.D. Sharp |
| 1994 | India | Bubonic Plague epidemic | Extreme heat/Rodent blooms/human density | Epstein |
| 1994 | Zaire | 1st Victim Ebola outbreak | Forest/charcoal worker/family infected | WHO |
| 1994 | Central Pacific | ENSO warm event recurs | Westerlies die11/15/94 releasing Kelvin wave | G.D. Sharp |
| 1994 | Ecuador coast | Strong Local Upwelling | Coldest coastal SST for decades | G.D. Sharp |
| 1994 | Baltic | Algal overgrowth | Warm temperature 73F stimulates blooms | Epstein |
| 1994 | California | Deer/puma populations expand | Wildlife encroaches on human environments | G.D. Sharp |
| 1994 | India | Heat Wave /Dengue/Black Plague |
Severe outbreak follows rat outburst | Epstein |
| 1994 | Mississippi valley | Flooding | Extended rainfall/floods/human displacement | G.D. Sharp |
| 1994 | Pacific-wide | 4 yr ENSO warm event cotinues | Australia Drought continues/wild fires | G.D. Sharp |
| 1993-94 | Zimbabwe | Widespread Rodent infestations | Rainfalls follow drought period | Chikwenhere |
| 1993 | Central California coast | Algal blooms/Domoic acid | Sea bird and mammal kills | Epstein |
| 1993 | So.West USA | Extended rainfalls/Hanta virus | Rodent vector invasions affect various locations | Epstein |
| 1993 | Western Europe | heavy rainfall | Flooding and associated social displacements | G.D. Sharp |
| 1993 | West and Southern India | >10,000 people die. | News | |
| 1993 | Rio de Janeiro | UNCED Accords | Global Enviroment/Development/Sustainability | |
| 1993 | Pacific-wide | Cont. 4 yr ENSO warm event | Australia drought continues | G.D. Sharp |
| 1992 | Bengal | Cholera outbreak | 8th Pandemic | Epstein |
| 1992 | So.
California Zimbabwe |
Field rodents bloom | Droughts punctuated by rainfall/seed plants | Epstein |
| 1992 | Global | SOI/LgthDay/Seismic relation | Atmos/angular moment/LOD/seismic events | Chinnery |
| 1992 | Global Fisheries | UN FAO Report on Status | Fisheries uneconomic/declining/mismanaged | FAO Fisheries |
| 1992 | Western Europe | heavy rainfall | Flooding and associated social displacements | G.D. Sharp |
| 1992-1994 | So. California | Cooccidiomycosis outbreak | Palmdale/Northridge Earthquake aerosols | G.D. Sharp |
| 1992 | Central California | Warm coastal species colonize | Mackerel/baracuda/mammals appear | G.D. Sharp |
| c1992 | Global | Seismic events escalate | Shown to relate to ENSO minima | NOAA/NGDC |
| 1992 | Pacific-wide | Cont. 4 yr ENSO warm event | Australia Drought | G.D. Sharp |
| 1991-92 | Costa Rica | Malarial outbreak | Mosquito born /ENSO rainfalls | Epstein |
| 1991-92 | California/Chile | Rainfall = Desierto Florida | Rains/arid areas have rare wildflower blooms | G.D. Sharp |
| 1991 | Philippines | Mt. Pinotubo erupts | Thousands homeless, mudlsides/ash/aerosols | G.D. Sharp |
| 1991 | Japan | Mt. Unzen erupts | Devastation widespread | G.D. Sharp |
| 1991 | Florida | Hurricane "Andrew" | Devastates Miami area/thousands homeless | G.D. Sharp |
| 1991 | North Carolina | Pfeisteria piscida toxic blooms | Active/Delaware/Florida/Gulf of Mexico | Epstein |
| 1991 | So./Central America | Cholera outbreak | 7th pandemic | Epstein |
| 1991 | So. California | Bluefin return to region | Sport fishery rekindled | G.D. Sharp |
| 1991 | Pacific-wide | Begin 4 yr ENSO warm event | Many warm ocean species appear | G.D. Sharp |
| 1991 | Soviet Union | Collapse of USSR | Economic collapse forced by Cold War | G.D. Sharp |
| 1991 | Chile/Peru | Coastal species reappear | Giant squid, sierra and sprat recolonize coast | G.D. Sharp |
| 1991 | Peru | Cholera epidemic | Many deaths/quarantines limit expansion | Trager |
| 1991-1994 | Costa Rica, Pakistan | Malaria explosion | Droughts/Extreme wet periods/ENSO warm events | Epstein |